Selling like hot cakes: The market for buying and selling non-life run-offs has never been stronger

Spring 2008

Run off and Restructuring

Time to reconsider reinsurance

In terms of run-off solutions, reinsurance does not attract the attention lavished on schemes of arrangement or Part VII transfers. Often it is simply seen as a last resort where other exit strategies don't work.

Recent Press Coverage

The arguments against using reinsurance as a run-off exit strategy are well known. Critics quite rightly point out that reinsurance does not provide complete finality. They also argue that it can be expensive. Some insurance consultants go so far as to describe it as esoteric, adding that few potential clients even consider it as an option.

Supporters, on the other hand, respond that reinsurance is sometimes the only solution available in certain situations and jurisdictions. And the ace up their sleeve is Berkshire Hathaway's use of reinsurance when buying Equitas - by far the biggest run-off deal to date. As for the cost of reinsurance, if it really was that exorbitant, then of course no deals would ever be done.

Only recently, London based runoff buyer Ruxley used a reinsurance contract to complete its acquisition of the London branch of Generali's Swiss subsidiary, Generali Assurances Generale (GAG). When constructing such a deal, Ruxley has to consider two levels of financial reserves. The first is the commercial level it needs to make a profit. The second is the much higher level it needs to satisfy UK regulator the Financial Services Authority (FSA), since Ruxley itself does not have a credit rating.

On this occasion, to bridge the gap between these two figures and cut its finance costs, Ruxley bought reinsurance cover from Bermuda based and A rated reinsurer XL Re. 'Effectively we rented XL's rating. So that put us in an equivalent position to a Berkshire Hathaway or any other large reinsurer,' explains Ruxley chief executive John Winter.

Significantly both for reinsurers and the run-off market Winter reckons that the purchase of GAG has broken new ground. He believes it is the first time anyone has used reinsurance in this way to provide regulatory capital on a run-off deal. What is certain is that London based runoff specialists are looking increasingly to reinsurers to help them finance deals.

Mark Adams, a partner at accountancy firm Deloitte, says this is particularly the case when small London market entities buy significant portfolios. The driver is the FSA which demands a very high degree of security in the acquiring vehicle. 'So, rather than putting capital on the balance sheet, the parties involved use reinsurance contracts. We've seen a number of the well known international reinsurers providing reinsurance contracts of that nature to facilitate a run-off purchase,' says Adams.

Reinsurers too are taking a fresh look at legacy and run-off opportunities. January saw the launch in Bermuda of St George Re with a specific brief to insure and reinsure legacy asbestos risk. The company is working with both policyholders and insurers. In addition to its own capital, St George Re has a strategic capacity arrangement with Berkshire Hathaway, a key player in this market with extensive experience of asbestos through Equitas.

"There are opportunities for reinsurance in this area. It's a product we're seriously considering using again"
John Winter, Ruxley

Winter believes that innovations like these as much as any other factor are likely to decide the future role of reinsurance in the run-off market. 'Any innovation using reinsurance or whatever form of financing is welcome. So, I think in principle yes, there are opportunities for reinsurance in this area. It's a product we're seriously considering using again.'

Typical situations

A leading reinsurer already in the market is Munich Re, whose Customised Portfolio Solutions (CPS) unit has a team of 15 which has notched up around 20 deals in recent years. The factors driving those deals often differ, but generally boil down in the end to insurers wanting to use their capital more efficiently, says CPS head Karin Barkholt.

Munich Re is often called in during mergers or disposals of specific books of business. In those cases, a new buyer - or an old buyer - may use reinsurance to protect its reserves or its business against adverse developments. 'That is the most typical situation where our products are of benefit and where we are approached most frequently,' says Barkholt.

In other instances, insurers will look at the use of reinsurance to enable them to exit particular books of business which are tying up a lot of capital. Another important source of business for Munich Re is the consolidation and relocation of captive companies in the corporate markets.

In terms of current and future prospects, Barkholt reports an increase in enquiries in connection with the planned introduction of Solvency II. Until this new regulatory regime is rolled out in its final form, predicting its impact is hard, she says. However, she adds that: 'I'm convinced that this will make a huge difference, because transparency will increase and people will have to focus on their core business and activities and capital efficiency.'

Wide market

However reinsurance is used in run-off, Barkholt believes that it is rarely in head to head competition with schemes of arrangement or Part VII transfers. 'This particular market segment is so wide. There is so much potential out there that all of those mechanisms should be used and can be used. Some situations are either or, but sometimes I can envisage situations where you start with one feature and then extend to include others.' An example could be a Part VII transfer which the new owners later decide to scheme, only to discover that certain parts are not suitable and therefore opt for reinsurance instead.

Paul Corver, claims director at London-based consultancy KMS Insurance Management, agrees that reinsurance can sometimes be used with other exit strategies. 'We've looked at reinsurance for a couple of potential clients. It is something that can be tacked on and work alongside perhaps a scheme of arrangement where the majority of a book of business can be exited and the balance can be protected by some sort of reinsurance arrangement.'

In other situations, reinsurance is the only option or offers advantages over schemes of arrangement and transfers. Schemes are not feasible in every situation, and sometimes even when they are in theory would be difficult to achieve in practice. Similarly, Part VII transfers may run into problems, if for example they have significant policyholder constituents from outside the European Economic Area.

Reinsurance can also be the most appropriate route on very litigious positions where agreement cannot be reached on the valuation of a portfolio or part of a portfolio. 'Entities may want to retain the problematic piece of business and provide an exit on the balance of the book. Then they can seek some sort of reinsurance protection to give them cover for any deterioration in the particularly volatile piece of business,' explains Corver.

High degree of certainty

Although KMS does consider reinsurance as an option with its clients, it has not so far gone down this route as part of an exit strategy. One reason for this is price, explains Corver. 'Perhaps the hardest issue to look at is the cost benefit because the premium charges are high. If you look at the Equitas - Berkshire Hathaway deal, near enough the entire Equitas asset was used as the premium for that cover.'

"Perhaps the hardest issue to look at is the cost benefit because the premium charges are high"
Paul Corver, KMS

Insurers, especially smaller companies trying to extract some value from their balance sheets by exiting legacy business, are therefore likely to look at options other than reinsurance first. Moreover, anyone hoping for keener prices now that reinsurance rates are generally falling is likely to be disappointed. The soft/hard market cycle has no impact on the price of this kind of retrospective reinsurance, says Adams: 'Run-off pricing is very much an actuarial valuation of loss reserves and the volatility of those loss reserves.'

Not surprisingly Barkholt takes a similar stance on pricing. 'There is no way that this particular field is driven by so-called cycles.' If anything, Munich Re applies its doctrine of risk adequate pricing more strictly to retrospective than prospective business. 'For the retrospective business you are usually looking at a well defined portfolio which has already been in run-off for some time. You know you will have losses and you only have a one-off chance, then you're stuck with the run-off.'

"My feeling is that a lot more people are interested in this area and the market is maybe getting a bit wider"
Karin Barkholt, Munich Re

However, although not necessarily cheap, this firm approach on pricing does mean that reinsurance offers greater certainty than its critics often suggest. True, reinsurance cannot provide the finality offered by schemes and transfers, but Adams points out that the economic reality is that 'to a very high degree of certainty the risk is fully transferred.'

Like other reinsurers in the sector such as Swiss Re and Berkshire Hathaway's Gen Re, Munich Re does not give details of its performance in the run-off arena. All Barkholt will say is that the occasional transaction does not meet expectations, while emphasising that others run better than expected. In terms of activity, the group reports a fairly constant flow of deals over the last five years or so. However, the number of enquiries from continental Europe, Asia and the US has begun to pick up, while interest remains strong in the UK.

"Run-off pricing is very much an actuarial valuation of loss reserves and the volatility of those loss reserves"
Mark Adams, Deloitte

International APH (asbestos pollution health) business still dominates the London market, whereas the rest of Europe is generally local, monoline legacy business. Munich Re does consider the more challenging London APH portfolios, but Barkholt will not be drawn on whether maturity is making them any easier. 'Certainly their portfolios are getting more mature. Whether that necessarily means they are getting less volatile, I wouldn't dare to say that.'

Alive and kicking

However, with a ten year track record behind her and the data that goes with it, Barkholt is confident of being able to identify potentially profitable new opportunities for the Customised Portfolio Solutions unit. 'We are currently considering going more into the areas of portfolio transfers, novations and so on. But that will only happen on a very selective basis.'

As well as more opportunities, Barkholt has noticed that more reinsurers are eyeing up run-off - especially London market run-off - as a potential source of business. 'My feeling is that a lot more people are interested in this area and the market is maybe getting a bit wider. I still think Munich Re has a very good position here and I'm not afraid of more competition. It just makes it more challenging and more attractive as a market segment.' She adds, though, that 'it remains to be seen what the real activities of those new players are. I'm watching it with interest.'

Corver too sees potential and describes reinsurance of run-off as alive and kicking with some very significant players in the market. However, the question for him is whether the volatility that has surrounded schemes of arrangement will encourage more players to offer reinsurance type solutions to companies wanting to exit their business. For the moment, he says the answer is not clear.